Pre-tourney Rankings
Mississippi Valley
Southwestern Athletic
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#243
Expected Predictive Rating-0.6#178
Pace75.4#31
Improvement-1.1#214

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#247
Improvement-1.8#258

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#234
Improvement+0.7#131
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 16.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four100.0% n/a n/a
First Round35.9% n/a n/a
Second Round0.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2011 40   @ Notre Dame L 67-80 6%     0 - 1 +0.3 +0.2 +0.2
  Nov 14, 2011 156   @ DePaul L 70-80 19%     0 - 2 -5.6 -9.9 +5.2
  Nov 20, 2011 4   @ North Carolina L 75-101 2%     0 - 3 -4.0 -4.3 +6.1
  Nov 22, 2011 157   @ South Carolina L 57-61 20%     0 - 4 +0.2 -8.1 +7.9
  Nov 25, 2011 165   Tennessee St. W 90-89 2OT 32%     1 - 4 +1.1 +9.8 -8.9
  Nov 26, 2011 172   Cal Poly L 55-72 33%     1 - 5 -17.3 -6.7 -14.4
  Nov 30, 2011 118   @ Arkansas L 64-97 14%     1 - 6 -26.2 -9.6 -15.1
  Dec 02, 2011 58   @ Northwestern L 67-92 8%     1 - 7 -13.7 -5.6 -7.9
  Dec 10, 2011 84   @ Mississippi L 56-80 10%     1 - 8 -14.7 -15.4 +2.9
  Dec 19, 2011 16   @ Florida L 54-82 3%     1 - 9 -10.7 -16.3 +6.2
  Dec 23, 2011 12   @ Wisconsin L 45-79 3%     1 - 10 -15.9 -16.0 -0.9
  Dec 31, 2011 27   @ Iowa St. L 65-67 4%     1 - 11 +12.9 -7.0 +20.1
  Jan 03, 2012 329   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 82-67 86%     2 - 11 1 - 0 -1.4 -3.8 +1.5
  Jan 07, 2012 320   @ Alabama St. W 67-60 65%     3 - 11 2 - 0 -1.8 -2.1 +0.7
  Jan 09, 2012 336   @ Alabama A&M W 81-69 75%     4 - 11 3 - 0 +0.2 +2.1 -2.1
  Jan 14, 2012 335   Alcorn St. W 85-66 89%     5 - 11 4 - 0 +0.9 -8.0 +6.1
  Jan 16, 2012 316   Southern W 77-56 84%     6 - 11 5 - 0 +5.8 +3.5 +3.2
  Jan 21, 2012 330   @ Prairie View W 81-57 68%     7 - 11 6 - 0 +14.4 -0.7 +12.1
  Jan 23, 2012 276   @ Texas Southern W 77-69 OT 44%     8 - 11 7 - 0 +4.7 +2.1 +2.1
  Jan 28, 2012 333   Jackson St. W 60-54 88%     9 - 11 8 - 0 -11.8 -17.9 +6.2
  Jan 30, 2012 344   Grambling St. W 77-59 95%     10 - 11 9 - 0 -6.1 -11.9 +4.6
  Feb 04, 2012 320   Alabama St. W 70-58 84%     11 - 11 10 - 0 -3.6 -7.6 +3.7
  Feb 06, 2012 336   Alabama A&M W 78-64 90%     12 - 11 11 - 0 -4.6 -7.2 +1.8
  Feb 11, 2012 335   @ Alcorn St. W 71-63 73%     13 - 11 12 - 0 -3.3 -4.1 +1.0
  Feb 13, 2012 316   @ Southern W 58-53 64%     14 - 11 13 - 0 -3.4 -17.3 +13.7
  Feb 18, 2012 330   Prairie View W 60-58 86%     15 - 11 14 - 0 -14.4 -22.4 +7.7
  Feb 20, 2012 276   Texas Southern W 56-53 70%     16 - 11 15 - 0 -7.1 -11.2 +4.4
  Feb 25, 2012 344   @ Grambling St. W 79-60 88%     17 - 11 16 - 0 +1.7 -4.8 +5.7
  Feb 27, 2012 333   @ Jackson St. W 78-69 73%     18 - 11 17 - 0 -2.0 +8.9 -10.1
  Mar 01, 2012 329   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 67-78 68%     18 - 12 17 - 1 -20.6 -13.8 -6.2
  Mar 07, 2012 333   Jackson St. W 63-60 82%     19 - 12 -11.4 -4.9 -6.1
  Mar 09, 2012 329   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 71-64 78%     20 - 12 -6.0 -0.5 -4.7
  Mar 10, 2012 276   Texas Southern W 71-69 57%     21 - 12 -4.7 +2.8 -7.4
Projected Record 21.0 - 12.0 17.0 - 1.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16.0 100.0